Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.501386 1.709831 1.936684 2.201912 2.503539 2.835949 3.230176
2025-11-23 1.182127 1.465915 1.801646 2.228186 2.755943 3.387943 4.203047
2025-11-30 0.988830 1.300710 1.691619 2.217713 2.907819 3.783212 4.979862
2025-12-07 0.841347 1.161537 1.582325 2.176031 2.993070 4.079589 5.637504
2025-12-14 0.724349 1.042864 1.479006 2.120147 3.039952 4.314316 6.218980
2025-12-21 0.640729 0.957807 1.408256 2.095225 3.118226 4.588595 6.869505
2025-12-28 0.601772 0.931040 1.414817 2.177858 3.353587 5.101241 7.906219
2026-01-04 0.542291 0.866138 1.356998 2.155703 3.425880 5.373591 8.599837
2026-01-11 0.509680 0.838671 1.352080 2.212207 3.621141 5.845510 9.640559
2026-01-18 0.469812 0.795085 1.316831 2.215299 3.728669 6.184464 10.492804
2026-01-25 0.428410 0.744585 1.265124 2.185209 3.776546 6.427043 11.201620
2026-02-01 0.392486 0.699694 1.218190 2.157760 3.824335 6.670008 11.927225
2026-02-08 0.364439 0.668845 1.197418 2.182917 3.982177 7.143038 13.153747
2026-02-15 0.338678 0.640003 1.178399 2.211403 4.153023 7.663024 14.534721
2026-02-22 0.310458 0.603253 1.140857 2.200922 4.249402 8.055044 15.715213
2026-03-01 0.281523 0.561840 1.090151 2.159560 4.281760 8.328912 16.695022
2026-03-08 0.254253 0.520625 1.035425 2.104099 4.279778 8.534728 17.558726
2026-03-15 0.233514 0.490170 0.998373 2.079367 4.335163 8.855413 18.682416
2026-03-22 0.226069 0.486105 1.013255 2.161373 4.615361 9.650184 20.862143
2026-03-29 0.208914 0.459789 0.980061 2.139386 4.675398 9.998551 22.131286
2026-04-05 0.200537 0.451448 0.983423 2.195462 4.907201 10.726887 24.294658
2026-04-12 0.188203 0.433091 0.963558 2.198530 5.022714 11.215729 25.974542
2026-04-19 0.174290 0.409738 0.930516 2.168668 5.061071 11.538075 27.307309